The field of economic models and forecasting encompasses the development and application of theoretical, empirical and computational frameworks to predict future economic outcomes. These models range ...

Time series econometrics and forecasting constitute a dynamic research area that combines sophisticated statistical methodologies with economic theory to model, interpret and predict economic and ...

Domenico Giannone, an internationally recognized thought leader in econometrics and macroeconomic forecasting, is searching for innovative methods to better understand the complexities of global ...

This session aimed to gain insight into the macroeconomic models and inputs used at the decision-making level. In his talk, Robert Arnold, Congressional Budget Office (CBO), echoed Stock by stressing ...

Explore whether economics can be considered a science, analyzing its classification, testability, and consensus within social science debates.

Will the world still need economists in 2030? With skin in the game, we certainly hope so — but artificial intelligence is already transforming economic analysis. In our own work — and in a review of ...

Forecasting inflation has become a major challenge for central banks since 2020, due to supply chain disruptions and economic uncertainty post-pandemic. Machine learning models can improve forecasting ...

ATLANTA — The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta's GDPNow model published a final projection for GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025 on Tuesday at -2.7%. The forecast comes ahead of Wednesday's ...

A comprehensive study of the reserve and production potential of the Barnett shale integrates engineering, geology, and economics into a numerical model that allows for scenario testing based on ...

The White House says the Federal Reserve underestimates productivity gains. Not so, says Fed Chair Jerome Powell.